Matador Resources Co. (MTDR) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Matador Resources Co. (MTDR) has a Graham intrinsic value of $202.28 per share. At $57.52 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 72% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 33.9% a year to $3.7B, with an average return on invested capital of 13.3%.

Graham intrinsic value
$202.28
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$57.52
Price vs Graham value
72% below
Market cap
$7.2B
Revenue (FY2025)
$3.7B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
33.9%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
13.3%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$269.6M

MTDR 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $3.7B $759.2M $6.09 $269.6M 33.5% 11.4%
FY2024 $3.5B $885.3M $7.14 -$1.7B 41.2% 14.8%
FY2023 $2.8B $846.1M $7.05 -$1.4B 42.9% 20.1%
FY2022 $3.2B $1.2B $10.11 $915.5M 55.0% 46.8%
FY2021 $1.9B $585.0M $4.91 $215.4M 42.6% 45.0%
FY2020 $851.1M -$593.2M -$5.11 -$244.3M -61.3% -31.4%
FY2019 $1.0B $87.8M $0.75 -$394.0M 22.9% 9.1%
FY2018 $829.7M $274.2M $2.41 -$896.1M 43.8% 25.5%
FY2017 $544.3M $138.0M $1.23 -$573.8M 29.6% 17.4%
FY2016 $264.4M -$97.1M -$1.07 -$320.3M -67.0% -25.4%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Matador Resources Co is a consistent compounder, expanding top-line revenue at 33.9% annually over the past decade.

Matador Resources Co returns on capital have been average, hovering around 13.3% ROIC over the decade.

Matador Resources Co has not shown aggressive share repurchases (>10% retirement) or a major balance-sheet leverage increase (>50% net debt growth) over the 10-year window.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Matador Resources Co is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $202.28 per share.

MTDR stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Matador Resources Co. (MTDR) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 15.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, MTDR's intrinsic value is about $202.28 per share.

Is MTDR stock undervalued?

At $57.52 (close on Oct 17, 2026), MTDR trades 72% below its Graham value of $202.28. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Matador Resources Co. grown?

Revenue went from $264.4M in fiscal 2016 to $3.7B in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 33.9%. Net income was $759.2M in fiscal 2025.

Does Matador Resources Co. generate free cash flow?

Matador Resources Co. generated $269.6M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 3 of the last 10 reported years.

What is MTDR's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 13.3%, and average return on equity was 13.0%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this MTDR data come from?

From Matador Resources Co.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed May 8, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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