Ni Holdings, Inc. (NODK) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Ni Holdings, Inc. (NODK) has a Graham intrinsic value of $12.95 per share. At $14.81 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 14% above that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 77.1% a year to $285.1M, with an average return on invested capital of 0.1%.

Graham intrinsic value
$12.95
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$14.81
Price vs Graham value
14% above
Market cap
$310.9M
Revenue (FY2025)
$285.1M
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
77.1%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
0.1%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
-$15.5M

NODK 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $285.1M -$10.4M -$0.50 -$15.5M — -5.4%
FY2024 $325.2M -$6.1M -$0.29 $37.5M — -3.1%
FY2023 $365.7M -$5.5M -$0.26 $25.0M — -2.8%
FY2022 $1.5M -$53.1M -$2.49 -$31.6M — —
FY2021 $1.8M $8.4M $0.39 $28.5M — —
FY2020 $1.8M $40.4M $1.84 $50.5M — —
FY2019 $2.1M $26.4M $1.19 $24.4M — —
FY2018 $6.5M $31.1M $1.39 $19.4M — —
FY2017 $1.6M $16.0M $0.71 $17.1M — 8.7%
FY2016 $1.7M $4.6M — $6.8M — 3.3%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

NI Holdings, Inc. is a consistent compounder, expanding top-line revenue at 77.1% annually over the past decade.

NI Holdings, Inc. has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just 0.1% ROIC.

NI Holdings, Inc. has not shown aggressive share repurchases (>10% retirement) or a major balance-sheet leverage increase (>50% net debt growth) over the 10-year window.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, NI Holdings, Inc. is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $12.95 per share.

NODK stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Ni Holdings, Inc. (NODK) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 15.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, NODK's intrinsic value is about $12.95 per share.

Is NODK stock undervalued?

At $14.81 (close on Oct 17, 2026), NODK trades 14% above its Graham value of $12.95. On Graham's terms the shares look fully priced. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Ni Holdings, Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $1.7M in fiscal 2016 to $285.1M in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 77.1%. Net income was -$10.4M in fiscal 2025.

Does Ni Holdings, Inc. generate free cash flow?

Ni Holdings, Inc. generated -$15.5M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 8 of the last 10 reported years.

What is NODK's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 0.1%, and average return on equity was 2.0%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this NODK data come from?

From Ni Holdings, Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Aug 7, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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