Netscout Systems Inc. (NTCT) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Netscout Systems Inc. (NTCT) has a Graham intrinsic value of $43.18 per share. At $38.07 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 12% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue shrank 3.3% a year to $859.5M, with an average return on invested capital of -2.0%.

Graham intrinsic value
$43.18
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$38.07
Price vs Graham value
12% below
Market cap
$2.8B
Revenue (FY2026)
$859.5M
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
-3.3%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
-2.0%
Free cash flow (FY2026)
$285.4M

NTCT 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2026 $859.5M $95.5M $1.30 $285.4M 12.8% 7.9%
FY2025 $822.7M -$366.9M -$5.12 $212.3M -44.7% -26.5%
FY2024 $829.5M -$147.7M -$2.07 $52.5M -18.1% -8.7%
FY2023 $914.5M $59.6M $0.82 $146.2M 8.5% 3.7%
FY2022 $855.6M $35.9M $0.48 $285.7M 5.7% 2.2%
FY2021 $831.3M $19.4M $0.26 $201.9M 4.5% 1.6%
FY2020 $891.8M -$2.8M -$0.04 $205.1M 2.0% 0.4%
FY2019 $909.9M -$73.3M -$0.93 $126.4M -7.9% -2.5%
FY2018 $986.8M $79.8M $0.90 $206.5M -0.4% -0.1%
FY2017 $1.2B $33.3M $0.36 $197.1M 5.3% 1.6%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

NETSCOUT SYSTEMS INC is facing top-line stagnation, with revenue contracting over the decade.

NETSCOUT SYSTEMS INC has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just -2.0% ROIC.

Over the decade, NETSCOUT SYSTEMS INC shows that management has aggressively returned capital to shareholders by retiring 21.1% of outstanding shares.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, NETSCOUT SYSTEMS INC is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $43.18 per share.

NTCT stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Netscout Systems Inc. (NTCT) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 15.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, NTCT's intrinsic value is about $43.18 per share.

Is NTCT stock undervalued?

At $38.07 (close on Oct 17, 2026), NTCT trades 12% below its Graham value of $43.18. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Netscout Systems Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $1.2B in fiscal 2017 to $859.5M in fiscal 2026, a compound annual growth rate of -3.3%. Net income was $95.5M in fiscal 2026.

Does Netscout Systems Inc. generate free cash flow?

Netscout Systems Inc. generated $285.4M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2026. Free cash flow was positive in 10 of the last 10 reported years.

What is NTCT's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was -2.0%, and average return on equity was -1.6%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this NTCT data come from?

From Netscout Systems Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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