Oatly Group Ab (OTLY) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Oatly Group Ab (OTLY) has no Graham intrinsic value right now because the formula needs positive earnings. Over the last 8 fiscal years revenue grew 27.2% a year to $862.5M, with an average return on invested capital of -39.4%.

Graham intrinsic value
—
Revenue (FY2025)
$862.5M
Revenue growth (8-yr CAGR)
27.2%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
-39.4%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
-$36.1M

OTLY 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $862.5M -$153.1M -$0.25 -$36.1M -7.9% -14.5%
FY2024 $823.7M -$202.3M -$0.34 -$153.6M -22.6% -56.4%
FY2023 $783.3M -$417.1M -$0.70 -$231.7M -58.3% -94.4%
FY2022 $722.2M -$392.6M -$0.66 -$470.6M -54.8% -45.6%
FY2021 $643.2M -$212.4M -$0.39 -$487.6M -33.2% -33.2%
FY2020 $421.4M -$60.4M -$0.13 -$178.6M -11.2% -14.8%
FY2019 $204.0M -$35.6M — -$92.7M -15.1% -16.9%
FY2018 — — — — — —

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Oatly Group AB revenue growth over the past decade is N/A; insufficient history prevents a reliable 10-year CAGR calculation.

Oatly Group AB has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just -43.1% ROIC.

Oatly Group AB capital allocation metrics are N/A for the decade; share count and net debt history are incomplete.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Oatly Group AB is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $-8.30 per share.

OTLY stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Oatly Group Ab (OTLY) stock?

Graham's formula only works with positive earnings. Oatly Group Ab reported diluted EPS of -$0.25 in fiscal 2025, so no Graham value is shown. The 10-year table shows revenue and cash-flow trends instead.

Does Oatly Group Ab generate free cash flow?

Oatly Group Ab generated -$36.1M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 0 of the last 7 reported years.

What is OTLY's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 8 fiscal years was -39.4%, and average return on equity was -74.0%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this OTLY data come from?

From Oatly Group Ab's annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Mar 13, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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