Pdd Holdings Inc. (PDD) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Pdd Holdings Inc. (PDD) has a Graham intrinsic value of $548.06 per share. At $81.39 on Oct 20, 2026, the stock trades 85% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 111.7% a year to $431.8B, with an average return on invested capital of 10.9%.

Graham intrinsic value
$548.06
Share price (Oct 20, 2026)
$81.39
Price vs Graham value
85% below
Market cap
$482.6B
Revenue (FY2025)
$431.8B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
111.7%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
10.9%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
—

PDD 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $431.8B $97.8B $16.50 — 21.6% 26.9%
FY2024 $393.8B $112.4B $0.02 — 27.5% 47.3%
FY2023 $247.6B $60.0B $0.01 — 23.7% 45.7%
FY2022 $130.6B $31.5B $0.01 — 23.3% 34.4%
FY2021 $93.9B $7.8B $0.00 — 7.3% 10.3%
FY2020 $59.5B -$7.2B -$0.00 $28.2B -15.8% -32.6%
FY2019 $30.1B -$7.0B -$0.00 $14.8B -28.3% -44.2%
FY2018 $13.1B -$10.2B -$0.00 $7.7B -82.3% -121.1%
FY2017 $1.7B -$525.1M -$0.00 $9.7B -34.2% 74.1%
FY2016 $504.9M -$292.0M -$0.00 $877.5M -56.7% 68.5%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

PDD Holdings Inc. is a consistent compounder, expanding top-line revenue at 111.7% annually over the past decade.

PDD Holdings Inc. returns on capital have been average, hovering around 12.5% ROIC over the decade.

Over the decade, PDD Holdings Inc. shows that management has aggressively returned capital to shareholders by retiring 99.7% of outstanding shares.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, PDD Holdings Inc. is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $548.06 per share.

PDD stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Pdd Holdings Inc. (PDD) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 15.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, PDD's intrinsic value is about $548.06 per share.

Is PDD stock undervalued?

At $81.39 (close on Oct 20, 2026), PDD trades 85% below its Graham value of $548.06. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Pdd Holdings Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $504.9M in fiscal 2016 to $431.8B in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 111.7%. Net income was $97.8B in fiscal 2025.

What is PDD's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 10.9%, and average return on equity was 13.4%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this PDD data come from?

From Pdd Holdings Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Apr 29, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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