Shopify Inc. (SHOP) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Shopify Inc. (SHOP) has a Graham intrinsic value of $31.22 per share. At $169.52 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 443% above that value. Over the last 9 fiscal years revenue grew 117.5% a year to $11.6B, with an average return on invested capital of 2.9%.

Graham intrinsic value
$31.22
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$169.52
Price vs Graham value
443% above
Market cap
$221.2B
Revenue (FY2025)
$11.6B
Revenue growth (9-yr CAGR)
117.5%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
2.9%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$2.0B

SHOP 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $11.6B $1.2B $0.94 $2.0B 12.7% 10.7%
FY2024 $8.9B $2.0B $1.55 $1.6B 12.1% 10.8%
FY2023 $7.1B $132.0M $0.10 $905.0M -20.1% -12.9%
FY2022 $5.6B -$3.5B -$2.73 -$186.0M -14.7% —
FY2021 — — — — — —
FY2015 $205.2M -$18.8M — -$769.0K -8.7% —
FY2014 $105.0M -$22.3M — -$21.4M -20.6% —
FY2013 $50.3M -$4.8M — -$2.1M -8.5% —
FY2012 — — — — — —

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

SHOPIFY INC. revenue growth over the past decade is N/A; insufficient history prevents a reliable 10-year CAGR calculation.

SHOPIFY INC. has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just 2.9% ROIC.

SHOPIFY INC. capital allocation metrics are N/A for the decade; share count and net debt history are incomplete.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, SHOPIFY INC. is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $31.22 per share.

SHOP stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Shopify Inc. (SHOP) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 15.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, SHOP's intrinsic value is about $31.22 per share.

Is SHOP stock undervalued?

At $169.52 (close on Oct 17, 2026), SHOP trades 443% above its Graham value of $31.22. On Graham's terms the shares look fully priced. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

Does Shopify Inc. generate free cash flow?

Shopify Inc. generated $2.0B of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 3 of the last 7 reported years.

What is SHOP's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 9 fiscal years was 2.9%, and average return on equity was -8.2%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this SHOP data come from?

From Shopify Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Aug 5, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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