TuSimple Holdings Inc. (TSPH) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

TuSimple Holdings Inc. (TSPH) has no Graham intrinsic value right now because the formula needs positive earnings. Over the last 5 fiscal years revenue grew 136.3% a year to $9.4M, with an average return on invested capital of -13.6%.

Graham intrinsic value
—
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$0.17
Market cap
$37.0M
Revenue (FY2022)
$9.4M
Revenue growth (5-yr CAGR)
136.3%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
-13.6%
Free cash flow (FY2022)
-$343.5M

TSPH 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2022 $9.4M -$472.0M -$2.11 -$343.5M -5220.0% -253.8%
FY2021 $6.3M -$732.7M -$4.36 -$272.4M -6570.1% 115.3%
FY2020 $1.8M -$177.9M -$1.12 -$108.2M -9444.6% 24.5%
FY2019 $710.0K -$84.8M -$0.82 -$86.7M -12293.0% 59.5%
FY2018 — — — — — —

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

TuSimple Holdings Inc. revenue growth over the past decade is N/A; insufficient history prevents a reliable 10-year CAGR calculation.

TuSimple Holdings Inc. has earned high returns on invested capital, averaging 49.2% ROIC over the available history. High ROIC is consistent with a durable franchise, but it is not by itself proof of an economic moat.

TuSimple Holdings Inc. capital allocation metrics are N/A for the decade; share count and net debt history are incomplete.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, TuSimple Holdings Inc. is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $-70.09 per share.

TSPH stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of TuSimple Holdings Inc. (TSPH) stock?

Graham's formula only works with positive earnings. TuSimple Holdings Inc. reported diluted EPS of -$2.11 in fiscal 2022, so no Graham value is shown. The 10-year table shows revenue and cash-flow trends instead.

Does TuSimple Holdings Inc. generate free cash flow?

TuSimple Holdings Inc. generated -$343.5M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2022. Free cash flow was positive in 0 of the last 4 reported years.

What is TSPH's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 5 fiscal years was -13.6%, and average return on equity was -21.4%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this TSPH data come from?

From TuSimple Holdings Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Nov 9, 2023. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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