Tvardi Therapeutics, Inc. (TVRD) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Tvardi Therapeutics, Inc. (TVRD) has a Graham intrinsic value of $5.98 per share. At $1.01 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 83% below that value.

Graham intrinsic value
$5.98
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$1.01
Price vs Graham value
83% below
Market cap
$7.9M
Revenue (FY2025)
—
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
73.7%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
-110.9%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
—

TVRD 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 — -$18.2M -$3.26 — — 127.4%
FY2024 $7.1M -$70.9M -$15.53 -$62.0M -818.0% 375.8%
FY2023 $21.0M -$118.5M -$2.19 -$94.5M -579.4% -1065.9%
FY2022 $41.9M -$85.5M -$1.59 -$78.8M -209.1% —
FY2021 $23.0M -$88.4M -$1.74 -$60.1M -386.8% -40.8%
FY2020 $135.1M $8.4M $0.18 -$5.8M 4.0% 2.7%
FY2019 $19.9M -$106.4M -$2.49 -$109.2M -561.6% -64.5%
FY2018 $13.5M -$74.0M -$2.06 -$22.4M -574.5% —
FY2017 $911.0K -$58.1M — -$54.9M -6529.6% —
FY2016 $86.0K -$57.3M — -$48.1M -67907.0% —

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Tvardi Therapeutics, Inc. revenue growth over the past decade is N/A; insufficient history prevents a reliable 10-year CAGR calculation.

Tvardi Therapeutics, Inc. has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just 3.0% ROIC.

Over the decade, Tvardi Therapeutics, Inc. shows that management has aggressively returned capital to shareholders by retiring 71.5% of outstanding shares.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Tvardi Therapeutics, Inc. is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $5.98 per share.

TVRD stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Tvardi Therapeutics, Inc. (TVRD) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 15.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, TVRD's intrinsic value is about $5.98 per share.

Is TVRD stock undervalued?

At $1.01 (close on Oct 17, 2026), TVRD trades 83% below its Graham value of $5.98. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

What is TVRD's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was -110.9%, and average return on equity was -101.1%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this TVRD data come from?

From Tvardi Therapeutics, Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Aug 14, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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