Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK) has a Graham intrinsic value of $173.72 per share. At $239.90 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 38% above that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 15.1% a year to $7.2B, with an average return on invested capital of 7.8%.

Graham intrinsic value
$173.72
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$239.90
Price vs Graham value
38% above
Market cap
$51.6B
Revenue (FY2026)
$7.2B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
15.1%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
7.8%
Free cash flow (FY2026)
$2.4B

ADSK 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2026 $7.2B $1.1B $5.23 $2.4B 21.9% 31.5%
FY2025 $6.1B $1.1B $5.12 $1.6B 22.1% 35.8%
FY2024 $5.5B $906.0M $4.19 $1.3B 20.5% 41.5%
FY2023 $5.0B $823.0M $3.78 $2.0B 19.8% 41.8%
FY2022 $4.4B $497.0M $2.24 $1.5B 14.1% 30.6%
FY2021 $3.8B $1.2B $5.44 $1.3B 16.6% 68.5%
FY2020 $3.3B $214.5M $0.96 $1.4B 10.5% 31.4%
FY2019 $2.6B -$80.8M -$0.37 $310.1M -1.0% -4.0%
FY2018 $2.1B -$566.9M -$2.58 — -24.8% -117.8%
FY2017 $2.0B -$582.1M -$2.61 — -24.6% -81.6%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Autodesk is a consistent compounder, expanding top-line revenue at 15.1% annually over the past decade.

Autodesk has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just 7.8% ROIC.

Over the decade, Autodesk shows that the company has leveraged its balance sheet to sustain operations.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Autodesk is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $173.72 per share.

ADSK stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 15.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, ADSK's intrinsic value is about $173.72 per share.

Is ADSK stock undervalued?

At $239.90 (close on Oct 17, 2026), ADSK trades 38% above its Graham value of $173.72. On Graham's terms the shares look fully priced. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Autodesk, Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $2.0B in fiscal 2017 to $7.2B in fiscal 2026, a compound annual growth rate of 15.1%. Net income was $1.1B in fiscal 2026.

Does Autodesk, Inc. generate free cash flow?

Autodesk, Inc. generated $2.4B of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2026. Free cash flow was positive in 8 of the last 8 reported years.

What is ADSK's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 7.8%, and average return on equity was 17.5%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this ADSK data come from?

From Autodesk, Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed May 29, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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