Twilio Inc. (TWLO) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Twilio Inc. (TWLO) has a Graham intrinsic value of $6.98 per share. At $244.37 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 3401% above that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 38.1% a year to $5.1B, with an average return on invested capital of 23.0%.

Graham intrinsic value
$6.98
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$244.37
Price vs Graham value
3401% above
Market cap
$39.0B
Revenue (FY2025)
$5.1B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
38.1%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
23.0%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$997.4M

TWLO 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $5.1B $33.8M $0.21 $997.4M 3.1% 1.2%
FY2024 $4.5B -$109.4M -$0.66 $709.3M -1.2% -0.6%
FY2023 $4.2B -$1.0B -$5.54 $403.4M -21.1% -8.2%
FY2022 $3.8B -$1.3B -$6.86 -$288.8M -31.5% -11.0%
FY2021 $2.8B -$949.9M -$5.45 -$104.2M -32.2% -9.6%
FY2020 $1.8B -$491.0M -$3.35 $6.8M -28.0% -7.8%
FY2019 $1.1B -$307.1M -$2.36 -$31.3M -32.6% -15.2%
FY2018 $650.1M -$121.9M — $3.3M -17.7% 235.3%
FY2017 $399.0M -$63.7M — -$12.5M -16.6% —
FY2016 $277.3M -$41.3M — -$4.1M -14.9% —

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

TWILIO INC is a consistent compounder, expanding top-line revenue at 38.1% annually over the past decade.

TWILIO INC has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just -6.1% ROIC.

TWILIO INC capital allocation metrics are N/A for the decade; share count and net debt history are incomplete.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, TWILIO INC is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $6.98 per share.

TWLO stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Twilio Inc. (TWLO) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 15.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, TWLO's intrinsic value is about $6.98 per share.

Is TWLO stock undervalued?

At $244.37 (close on Oct 17, 2026), TWLO trades 3401% above its Graham value of $6.98. On Graham's terms the shares look fully priced. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Twilio Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $277.3M in fiscal 2016 to $5.1B in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 38.1%. Net income was $33.8M in fiscal 2025.

Does Twilio Inc. generate free cash flow?

Twilio Inc. generated $997.4M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 5 of the last 10 reported years.

What is TWLO's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 23.0%, and average return on equity was -11.4%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this TWLO data come from?

From Twilio Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Aug 7, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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