Expeditors International Of Washington Inc. (EXPD) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Expeditors International Of Washington Inc. (EXPD) has a Graham intrinsic value of $125.77 per share. At $195.91 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 56% above that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 6.8% a year to $11.1B, with an average return on invested capital of 50.9%.

Graham intrinsic value
$125.77
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$195.91
Price vs Graham value
56% above
Market cap
$26.7B
Revenue (FY2025)
$11.1B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
6.8%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
50.9%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$953.4M

EXPD 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $11.1B $810.3M $5.95 $953.4M 9.5% 51.4%
FY2024 $10.6B $810.1M $5.72 $682.9M 9.8% 54.3%
FY2023 $9.3B $752.9M $5.01 $1.0B 10.1% 49.7%
FY2022 $17.1B $1.4B $8.26 $2.0B 10.7% 74.0%
FY2021 $16.5B $1.4B $8.27 $832.2M 11.6% 77.1%
FY2020 $10.1B $696.1M $4.07 $607.5M 9.3% 49.2%
FY2019 $8.2B $590.4M $3.39 $724.9M 9.4% 48.4%
FY2018 $8.1B $618.2M $3.48 $525.3M 9.8% 56.7%
FY2017 $6.9B $489.3M $2.69 $393.6M 10.1% 24.9%
FY2016 $6.1B $430.8M $2.36 $469.8M 11.0% 22.8%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Expeditors International has demonstrated mature, steady growth, with revenue compounding at 6.8% annually over the past decade.

Expeditors International has earned high returns on invested capital, averaging 50.9% ROIC over the available history. High ROIC is consistent with a durable franchise, but it is not by itself proof of an economic moat.

Over the decade, Expeditors International shows that management has aggressively returned capital to shareholders by retiring 25.4% of outstanding shares.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Expeditors International is modeled at 8.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $125.77 per share.

EXPD stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Expeditors International Of Washington Inc. (EXPD) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 8.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, EXPD's intrinsic value is about $125.77 per share.

Is EXPD stock undervalued?

At $195.91 (close on Oct 17, 2026), EXPD trades 56% above its Graham value of $125.77. On Graham's terms the shares look fully priced. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Expeditors International Of Washington Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $6.1B in fiscal 2016 to $11.1B in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 6.8%. Net income was $810.3M in fiscal 2025.

Does Expeditors International Of Washington Inc. generate free cash flow?

Expeditors International Of Washington Inc. generated $953.4M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 10 of the last 10 reported years.

What is EXPD's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 50.9%, and average return on equity was 32.2%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this EXPD data come from?

From Expeditors International Of Washington Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed May 6, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

Similar arrangement of transportation of freight & cargo stocks