Hub Group, Inc. (HUBG) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Hub Group, Inc. (HUBG) has a Graham intrinsic value of $30.80 per share. At $26.43 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 14% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 1.3% a year to $3.9B, with an average return on invested capital of 11.1%.

Graham intrinsic value
$30.80
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$26.43
Price vs Graham value
14% below
Market cap
$1.6M
Revenue (FY2024)
$3.9B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
1.3%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
11.1%
Free cash flow (FY2024)
$143.6M

HUBG 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2024 $3.9B $104.0M $1.70 $143.6M 3.6% 5.5%
FY2023 $4.2B $167.5M $2.62 $282.1M 5.1% 9.2%
FY2022 $5.3B $356.9M $5.32 $239.0M 8.9% 22.5%
FY2021 $4.2B $171.5M $2.53 $119.9M 5.6% 12.5%
FY2020 $3.5B $73.6M $1.09 $59.6M 3.0% 6.3%
FY2019 $3.7B $107.2M $1.60 $159.7M 4.2% 9.2%
FY2018 $3.7B $201.7M $3.00 $11.0M 3.4% 9.5%
FY2017 $3.1B $135.2M $2.02 $50.7M 3.1% 11.4%
FY2016 $2.8B $74.8M $1.10 -$4.9M 4.5% 12.4%
FY2015 $3.5B $70.9M $0.98 $88.7M 3.3% 13.0%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Hub Group, Inc. has demonstrated mature, steady growth, with revenue compounding at 1.3% annually over the past decade.

Hub Group, Inc. returns on capital have been average, hovering around 11.1% ROIC over the decade.

Over the decade, Hub Group, Inc. shows that management has aggressively returned capital to shareholders by retiring 99.9% of outstanding shares, and that the company has leveraged its balance sheet to sustain operations.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Hub Group, Inc. is modeled at 6.2% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $30.80 per share.

HUBG stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Hub Group, Inc. (HUBG) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 6.2% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, HUBG's intrinsic value is about $30.80 per share.

Is HUBG stock undervalued?

At $26.43 (close on Oct 17, 2026), HUBG trades 14% below its Graham value of $30.80. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Hub Group, Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $3.5B in fiscal 2015 to $3.9B in fiscal 2024, a compound annual growth rate of 1.3%. Net income was $104.0M in fiscal 2024.

Does Hub Group, Inc. generate free cash flow?

Hub Group, Inc. generated $143.6M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2024. Free cash flow was positive in 9 of the last 10 reported years.

What is HUBG's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 11.1%, and average return on equity was 13.7%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this HUBG data come from?

From Hub Group, Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Nov 5, 2025. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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