Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. (HRTG) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. (HRTG) has a Graham intrinsic value of $209.92 per share. At $35.93 on Oct 20, 2026, the stock trades 83% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 7.6% a year to $847.3M, with an average return on invested capital of -242.8%.

Graham intrinsic value
$209.92
Share price (Oct 20, 2026)
$35.93
Price vs Graham value
83% below
Market cap
$1.1B
Revenue (FY2025)
$847.3M
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
7.6%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
-242.8%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$174.2M

HRTG 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $847.3M $195.6M $6.32 $174.2M 31.5% -1906.5%
FY2024 $817.0M $61.5M $2.01 $78.9M 11.5% -82.4%
FY2023 $735.5M $45.3M $1.73 $60.5M 8.6% -76.2%
FY2022 $662.5M -$154.4M -$5.86 -$35.9M -23.8% -349.8%
FY2021 $631.6M -$74.7M -$2.69 $59.1M -10.8% -59.0%
FY2020 $593.4M $9.3M $0.33 $169.5M 1.7% 4.7%
FY2019 $511.3M $28.6M $0.98 $114.7M 9.7% 10.9%
FY2018 $480.2M $27.2M $1.04 $93.1M 14.5% 13.2%
FY2017 $406.6M -$1.1M -$0.04 $7.1M 12.2% 6.7%
FY2016 $439.0M $33.9M $1.14 $81.3M 12.9% 10.5%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. has demonstrated mature, steady growth, with revenue compounding at 7.6% annually over the past decade.

Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just -19.4% ROIC.

Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. has not shown aggressive share repurchases (>10% retirement) or a major balance-sheet leverage increase (>50% net debt growth) over the 10-year window.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $209.92 per share.

HRTG stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. (HRTG) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 15.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, HRTG's intrinsic value is about $209.92 per share.

Is HRTG stock undervalued?

At $35.93 (close on Oct 20, 2026), HRTG trades 83% below its Graham value of $209.92. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $439.0M in fiscal 2016 to $847.3M in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 7.6%. Net income was $195.6M in fiscal 2025.

Does Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. generate free cash flow?

Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. generated $174.2M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 9 of the last 10 reported years.

What is HRTG's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was -242.8%, and average return on equity was 3.9%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this HRTG data come from?

From Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Aug 7, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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