Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) intrinsic value & 10-year financials
Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) has a Graham intrinsic value of $16.60 per share. At $4.42 on Oct 27, 2026, the stock trades 73% below that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 12.1% a year to $10.4B, with an average return on invested capital of 7.6%.
- Graham intrinsic value
- $16.60
- Share price (Oct 27, 2026)
- $4.42
- Price vs Graham value
- 73% below
- Market cap
- $1.5B
- Revenue (FY2025)
- $10.4B
- Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
- 12.1%
- ROIC (10-yr avg)
- 7.6%
- Free cash flow (FY2025)
- $690.6M
MOMO 10-year financial history
| Fiscal year | Revenue | Net income | EPS (diluted) | Free cash flow | Operating margin | ROIC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | $10.4B | $804.0M | $2.37 | $690.6M | 13.1% | 5.8% |
| FY2024 | $10.6B | $1.0B | $2.78 | $1.4B | 14.5% | 6.5% |
| FY2023 | $12.0B | $2.0B | $4.92 | $1.7B | 19.2% | 14.9% |
| FY2022 | $12.7B | $1.5B | $3.65 | $1.1B | 12.8% | 11.8% |
| FY2021 | $14.6B | -$2.9B | -$7.20 | $1.5B | -16.4% | -19.7% |
| FY2020 | $15.0B | $2.1B | $4.83 | $3.0B | 16.8% | 13.4% |
| FY2019 | $17.0B | $3.0B | $6.76 | $5.3B | 20.9% | 20.4% |
| FY2018 | $13.4B | $2.8B | $6.59 | $3.1B | 24.4% | — |
| FY2017 | $8.9B | $2.1B | $5.17 | $2.7B | 27.4% | — |
| FY2016 | $3.7B | $979.0M | $2.41 | $1.4B | 26.3% | — |
Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.
Executive summary
Hello Group Inc. is a consistent compounder, expanding top-line revenue at 12.1% annually over the past decade.
Hello Group Inc. has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just 7.6% ROIC.
Over the decade, Hello Group Inc. shows that management has aggressively returned capital to shareholders by retiring 16.8% of outstanding shares.
Benjamin Graham lens
Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Hello Group Inc. is modeled at -0.2% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $16.60 per share.