Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) has a Graham intrinsic value of $2.83 per share. At $42.95 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 1418% above that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 1.2% a year to $3.5B, with an average return on invested capital of 19.6%.

Graham intrinsic value
$2.83
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$42.95
Price vs Graham value
1418% above
Market cap
$11.3B
Revenue (FY2025)
$3.5B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
1.2%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
19.6%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$1.0B

MTCH 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $3.5B $613.5M $2.38 $1.0B 25.0% 25.2%
FY2024 $3.5B $551.3M $2.02 $882.1M 23.7% 21.6%
FY2023 $3.4B $651.5M $2.26 $829.4M 27.3% 25.4%
FY2022 $3.2B $359.9M $1.24 $476.6M 16.2% 16.4%
FY2021 $3.0B $276.6M $0.93 $832.5M 28.5% 36.0%
FY2020 $2.4B $187.8M $0.49 $746.2M 31.2% 26.4%
FY2019 $4.8B $543.8M $4.50 $801.3M 12.2% 19.1%
FY2018 $4.3B $757.7M $6.59 $902.5M 13.3% 19.5%
FY2017 $3.3B $358.0M $3.18 $341.2M 5.7% 7.6%
FY2016 $3.1B -$16.2M -$0.52 $266.1M -1.0% -0.8%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Match Group, Inc. has demonstrated mature, steady growth, with revenue compounding at 1.2% annually over the past decade.

Match Group, Inc. has earned high returns on invested capital, averaging 19.6% ROIC over the available history. High ROIC is consistent with a durable franchise, but it is not by itself proof of an economic moat.

Over the decade, Match Group, Inc. shows that the company has leveraged its balance sheet to sustain operations.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Match Group, Inc. is modeled at -3.6% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $2.83 per share.

MTCH stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a -3.6% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, MTCH's intrinsic value is about $2.83 per share.

Is MTCH stock undervalued?

At $42.95 (close on Oct 17, 2026), MTCH trades 1418% above its Graham value of $2.83. On Graham's terms the shares look fully priced. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Match Group, Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $3.1B in fiscal 2016 to $3.5B in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 1.2%. Net income was $613.5M in fiscal 2025.

Does Match Group, Inc. generate free cash flow?

Match Group, Inc. generated $1.0B of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 10 of the last 10 reported years.

What is MTCH's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 19.6%, and average return on equity was -213.8%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this MTCH data come from?

From Match Group, Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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