Scotts MIRACLE-GRO Co. (SMG) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Scotts MIRACLE-GRO Co. (SMG) has no Graham intrinsic value right now because the formula needs positive earnings. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 3.5% a year to $3.4B, with an average return on invested capital of 9.8%.

Graham intrinsic value
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Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$54.57
Market cap
$3.2B
Revenue (FY2025)
$3.4B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
3.5%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
9.8%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$273.9M

SMG 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $3.4B $145.2M $2.47 $273.9M 10.5% 12.0%
FY2024 $3.6B -$34.9M -$0.61 $583.5M 5.9% 9.2%
FY2023 $3.6B -$380.1M -$6.79 $438.2M -4.9% -5.0%
FY2022 $3.9B -$437.5M -$7.88 -$242.5M -11.1% -10.3%
FY2021 $4.9B $512.5M $8.96 $164.6M 14.7% 19.4%
FY2020 $4.1B $387.4M $6.81 $495.3M 14.2% 18.8%
FY2019 $3.2B $460.7M $8.18 $184.4M 13.0% 13.3%
FY2018 $2.7B $63.7M $1.12 $274.3M 7.5% 9.3%
FY2017 $2.6B $218.3M $3.63 $284.4M 16.4% 14.8%
FY2016 $2.5B $315.3M $5.09 $179.1M 18.3% 16.9%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO has demonstrated mature, steady growth, with revenue compounding at 3.5% annually over the past decade.

SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO returns on capital have been average, hovering around 9.8% ROIC over the decade.

Over the decade, SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO shows that the company has leveraged its balance sheet to sustain operations.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO is modeled at -7.7% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $-14.79 per share.

SMG stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Scotts MIRACLE-GRO Co. (SMG) stock?

Graham's formula only works with positive earnings. Scotts MIRACLE-GRO Co. reported diluted EPS of $2.47 in fiscal 2025, so no Graham value is shown. The 10-year table shows revenue and cash-flow trends instead.

How fast has Scotts MIRACLE-GRO Co. grown?

Revenue went from $2.5B in fiscal 2016 to $3.4B in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 3.5%. Net income was $145.2M in fiscal 2025.

Does Scotts MIRACLE-GRO Co. generate free cash flow?

Scotts MIRACLE-GRO Co. generated $273.9M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 9 of the last 10 reported years.

What is SMG's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was 9.8%, and average return on equity was 82.1%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this SMG data come from?

From Scotts MIRACLE-GRO Co.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Aug 5, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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