Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR) has a Graham intrinsic value of $49.49 per share. At $8.95 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 82% below that value. Over the last 7 fiscal years revenue grew 20.2% a year to $71.6M, with an average return on invested capital of 3.9%.

Graham intrinsic value
$49.49
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$8.95
Price vs Graham value
82% below
Market cap
$286.0M
Revenue (FY2025)
$71.6M
Revenue growth (7-yr CAGR)
20.2%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
3.9%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
-$92.6M

SPIR 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $71.6M $51.3M $1.49 -$92.6M -134.1% -103.0%
FY2024 $110.5M -$102.8M -$4.26 -$45.0M -62.2% -55.9%
FY2023 $105.7M -$64.0M -$3.27 -$53.7M -42.2% -26.2%
FY2022 $80.3M -$89.4M -$0.64 -$66.7M -86.1% -45.6%
FY2021 $43.4M -$19.3M -$0.61 -$73.4M 156.4% 92.4%
FY2020 $28.5M -$32.5M — -$25.1M 91.3% 161.8%
FY2019 — — — — — —

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Spire Global, Inc. revenue growth over the past decade is N/A; insufficient history prevents a reliable 10-year CAGR calculation.

Spire Global, Inc. has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just -22.8% ROIC.

Spire Global, Inc. capital allocation metrics are N/A for the decade; share count and net debt history are incomplete.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Spire Global, Inc. is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $49.49 per share.

SPIR stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 15.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, SPIR's intrinsic value is about $49.49 per share.

Is SPIR stock undervalued?

At $8.95 (close on Oct 17, 2026), SPIR trades 82% below its Graham value of $49.49. On Graham's terms that leaves a margin of safety. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

Does Spire Global, Inc. generate free cash flow?

Spire Global, Inc. generated -$92.6M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 0 of the last 6 reported years.

What is SPIR's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 7 fiscal years was 3.9%, and average return on equity was 12.9%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this SPIR data come from?

From Spire Global, Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed May 14, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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