Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. (YMM) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. (YMM) has a Graham intrinsic value of CNY 139.51 per share. Over the last 8 fiscal years revenue grew 31.0% a year to CNY 12.5B, with an average return on invested capital of 1.4%.

Graham intrinsic value
CNY 139.51
Revenue (FY2025)
CNY 12.5B
Revenue growth (8-yr CAGR)
31.0%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
1.4%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
CNY 4.5B

YMM 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 CNY 12.5B CNY 4.5B CNY 4.20 CNY 4.5B 33.2% 10.3%
FY2024 CNY 11.2B CNY 3.1B CNY 3.00 CNY 2.9B 22.0% 7.6%
FY2023 CNY 8.4B CNY 2.2B CNY 2.00 CNY 2.2B 11.8% 3.3%
FY2022 CNY 6.7B CNY 411.9M CNY 0.40 -CNY 101.2M -2.4% -0.5%
FY2021 CNY 4.7B -CNY 3.7B -CNY 6.20 -CNY 254.6M -81.5% -13.9%
FY2020 CNY 2.6B -CNY 3.5B -CNY 5.25 CNY 521.7M -140.1% —
FY2019 CNY 2.5B -CNY 1.5B — -CNY 934.4M -41.3% —
FY2018 — — — — — —

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in CNY.

Executive summary

Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. revenue growth over the past decade is N/A; insufficient history prevents a reliable 10-year CAGR calculation.

Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just 1.4% ROIC.

Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. capital allocation metrics are N/A for the decade; share count and net debt history are incomplete.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. is modeled at 15.0% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $139.51 per share.

YMM stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. (YMM) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 15.0% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, YMM's intrinsic value is about CNY 139.51 per share.

Does Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. generate free cash flow?

Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. generated CNY 4.5B of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 4 of the last 7 reported years.

What is YMM's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 8 fiscal years was 1.4%, and average return on equity was 9.2%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this YMM data come from?

From Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed Apr 14, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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