Zillow GROUP, Inc. (ZG) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Zillow GROUP, Inc. (ZG) has a Graham intrinsic value of $2.71 per share. At $31.88 on Oct 17, 2026, the stock trades 1076% above that value. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue grew 13.2% a year to $2.6B, with an average return on invested capital of -4.6%.

Graham intrinsic value
$2.71
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$31.88
Price vs Graham value
1076% above
Market cap
$8.1B
Revenue (FY2025)
$2.6B
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
13.2%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
-4.6%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
$235.0M

ZG 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $2.6B $23.0M $0.09 $235.0M -1.3% -0.8%
FY2024 $2.2B -$112.0M -$0.48 $285.0M -8.8% -5.6%
FY2023 $1.9B -$158.0M -$0.68 $219.0M -13.9% -8.6%
FY2022 $2.0B -$101.0M -$0.42 $4.4B -4.7% -2.5%
FY2021 $8.1B -$527.8M -$2.11 -$3.2B -4.0% -7.2%
FY2020 $3.3B -$162.1M -$0.72 $339.3M -1.2% -0.9%
FY2019 $2.7B -$305.4M -$1.48 -$679.2M -9.0% -6.6%
FY2018 $1.3B -$119.9M — -$62.2M -9.7% -3.4%
FY2017 $1.1B -$94.4M — $191.5M -15.0% -3.1%
FY2016 $846.6M -$220.4M — -$53.4M -22.8% -7.3%

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

ZILLOW GROUP, INC. is a consistent compounder, expanding top-line revenue at 13.2% annually over the past decade.

ZILLOW GROUP, INC. has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just -4.6% ROIC.

ZILLOW GROUP, INC. has not shown aggressive share repurchases (>10% retirement) or a major balance-sheet leverage increase (>50% net debt growth) over the 10-year window.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, ZILLOW GROUP, INC. is modeled at 13.2% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $2.71 per share.

ZG stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Zillow GROUP, Inc. (ZG) stock?

Using Benjamin Graham's revised formula, V = EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 4.4 / Y, with reported diluted earnings per share, a 13.2% normalized growth rate (capped at 15%) and a 5.1% AAA corporate bond yield, ZG's intrinsic value is about $2.71 per share.

Is ZG stock undervalued?

At $31.88 (close on Oct 17, 2026), ZG trades 1076% above its Graham value of $2.71. On Graham's terms the shares look fully priced. A formula is a starting point for research, not a recommendation.

How fast has Zillow GROUP, Inc. grown?

Revenue went from $846.6M in fiscal 2016 to $2.6B in fiscal 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 13.2%. Net income was $23.0M in fiscal 2025.

Does Zillow GROUP, Inc. generate free cash flow?

Zillow GROUP, Inc. generated $235.0M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 6 of the last 10 reported years.

What is ZG's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was -4.6%, and average return on equity was -4.7%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this ZG data come from?

From Zillow GROUP, Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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