Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. (SPCE) intrinsic value & 10-year financials

Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. (SPCE) has no Graham intrinsic value right now because the formula needs positive earnings. Over the last 10 fiscal years revenue shrank 1.6% a year to $1.5M, with an average return on invested capital of -621.6%.

Graham intrinsic value
—
Share price (Oct 17, 2026)
$2.43
Market cap
$124.5M
Revenue (FY2025)
$1.5M
Revenue growth (10-yr CAGR)
-1.6%
ROIC (10-yr avg)
-621.6%
Free cash flow (FY2025)
-$438.2M

SPCE 10-year financial history

Fiscal year Revenue Net income EPS (diluted) Free cash flow Operating margin ROIC
FY2025 $1.5M -$278.9M -$5.44 -$438.2M -18480.8% -56.1%
FY2024 $7.0M -$346.7M -$6.95 -$474.6M -5352.9% -66.8%
FY2023 $6.8M -$502.3M -$0.74 -$492.5M -7816.3% -107.8%
FY2022 $2.3M -$500.2M -$0.94 -$396.7M -21625.6% -121.9%
FY2021 $3.3M -$352.9M -$0.71 -$235.4M -9706.4% -148.1%
FY2020 $238.0K -$273.0M -$1.47 -$250.4M -115665.5% -1784.3%
FY2019 $3.8M -$210.9M -$0.56 -$223.0M -5640.4% -2303.5%
FY2018 $2.8M $11.0M — -$11.7M -47.2% -26.5%
FY2017 $1.8M -$138.2M — -$142.3M -7907.9% -979.6%
FY2016 — — — — — —

Source: annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR. Figures in USD.

Executive summary

Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc revenue growth over the past decade is N/A; insufficient history prevents a reliable 10-year CAGR calculation.

Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc has historically struggled to out-earn its cost of capital, averaging just -64.2% ROIC.

Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc capital allocation metrics are N/A for the decade; share count and net debt history are incomplete.

Benjamin Graham lens

Under Benjamin Graham's formula using SEC EDGAR fundamentals, Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc is modeled at -1.6% normalized earnings growth with a 5.1% bond-yield adjustment. The resulting Graham intrinsic value estimate is $-25.06 per share.

SPCE stock: frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. (SPCE) stock?

Graham's formula only works with positive earnings. Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. reported diluted EPS of -$5.44 in fiscal 2025, so no Graham value is shown. The 10-year table shows revenue and cash-flow trends instead.

Does Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. generate free cash flow?

Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. generated -$438.2M of free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) in fiscal 2025. Free cash flow was positive in 0 of the last 9 reported years.

What is SPCE's return on invested capital?

Average ROIC over the last 10 fiscal years was -621.6%, and average return on equity was -143.5%. Sustained ROIC above about 15% usually points to a durable competitive advantage.

Where does this SPCE data come from?

From Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc.'s annual 10-K filings on SEC EDGAR, most recently filed May 14, 2026. Prices are end-of-day snapshots; valuations are formula outputs, not investment advice.

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